South Africa’s finance minister tabled a Budget on 21 May with the support of the Government of National Unity partners. VAT will remain at 15 per cent and Cabinet is agreed that reviews of expenditure should be intensified. The revised budget protects frontline services though several provisional spending proposals have been withdrawn. But the problems of sluggish growth and high debt levels remain. Substantial spending cuts will be needed if the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation goals are to be achieved. More rapid growth will require far-reaching structural and fiscal reforms.
Editor
Pippa Green
Latest Articles
Latest Articles

While everybody seems to favour the pursuit of inclusive growth, this concept is rarely clearly defined in the policy debate. Inclusive growth is often confused or conflated with pro-poor growth or broad-based growth. A recent definition from researchers at the UNDP integrates the latter two concepts to include employment, poverty and inequality. A derivative Inclusiveness Index shows that South Africa has a very low degree of inclusiveness compared to other developing countries and that its growth since 1996 has not been inclusive.

Nearly half the working-age population and nearly two-thirds of the unemployed live in areas designated as townships under apartheid spatial laws. Originally developed as “labour dormitories”, they have been challenging to develop as more vibrant local economies and residential areas. What can the government – and the private sector – do to stimulate growth, entrepreneurship, and employment in these peri-urban areas?

In developing countries, agricultural growth is generally employment intensive and pro-poor but this sector in South Africa has been subject to a drastic decline in tariffs, pricing, infrastructure and other forms of support. This has not been compensated for by alternative measures such as expenditure aimed at facilitating small-scale agriculture and effective land reform. The result has been poor economic performance and rapidly declining employment in commercial agriculture with little sign of revival in the small-scale sector.

The economy remains highly concentrated and existing firms have substantial advantages over entrants and smaller rivals. These firms can use their power to block rivals, also by influencing regulations in their favour. Changing the structure and the ownership of the economy simultaneously requires a package of measures to tackle the abuse of market power by large firms, change regulations to open up markets, and effectively support the development of the capabilities of smaller firms.
Articles
Popular Topics
Editor's Corner
Climatic stabilisation, as mandated by the Paris Agreement, necessitates a transition away from fossil-fuel based economic production and processes. In particular, the call to shift away from coal is crucial, given South Africa's substantial reliance on this energy source. The nation stands out as a larger CO2 emitter than the global average, with 86% of its primary energy supply and 85% of its CO2 emissions attributed to coal.[1]South Africa finds itself at the early stages of transitioning away from coal, but this is not devoid of socio-economic costs, as coal has a direct and indirect economic footprint.[2] Coal is a relatively cheap energy source, accounting for USD 3.8 billion and 3.97% of total merchandise exports, and is a source of employment and livelihood for many South Africans. Despite these socio-economic costs, delaying the transition could also prove costly, especially in light of evolving trade protocols that increasingly demand environmentally friendly alternatives such as electric vehicles or green steel.
In this article, extracted from a longer paper,[3] we provide a robust quantitative estimate of jobs – both direct and indirect – associated with the coal sector in South Africa. We also explore the labour market profile and characteristics of the individuals and households linked to the coal sector. In particular, we are interested in the size and shape of the coal labour market. Understanding the labour market implications associated with a transition is pivotal in shaping policy decisions linked to the just transition.